Ending Global Warming: The Economist – Carbon Capture

The November 20 issue of The Economist has two articles gushing about the good that can be accomplished by removing CO2 from our atmosphere.

For several years now, I have been advocating carbon capture as the way to minimize global warming.  It seems sometimes as the effort has been no more than a small voice crying in the human wilderness of experts and doomsayers.

My thinking, I hope, has been informed by the Caux Round Table approach to problems – what we have done to ourselves, we can undo with application of our inventive genius and our moral sense.  Thus, if the technology of industrialization put too much CO2 and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, different, newly invented technology can take it back out.

A fixation on successful carbon capture and removal for reuse or sequestering would be a most constructive outcome of the COP28 meeting in Dubai.

Since producing too much CO2 creates a public “bad” – a non-rivalrous negative dynamic threatening all of humanity – its removal from the atmosphere would be a public “good.”  In conventional thinking about how to create public goods for all of us to enjoy simultaneously, we have long looked to the production of such goods by public utilities.  So, why not have governments fund and operate carbon removal facilities as public utilities, charging society for the costs of improving our lives in common?

Opening up such a possibility, The Economist said:

Few of those who have mouthed commitments to net zero appreciate how central greenhouse-gas removal is to the notion; of those who do, few recognise quite how vast the challenge is.  Emission cuts of 90% would still see enough gas entering the atmosphere for a balancing level of removals to be a huge undertaking.

Studies by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change suggest that if the planet is to stand a decent chance of staying below the 2°C limit on warming, it would be wise to plan on removing an additional 5bn tonnes of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere every year.

.. humankind’s transfer of fossil-fuel carbon from its quiet rest in the solid Earth to the hurly-burly of the atmosphere.  Roughly 1trn tons of carbon dioxide have accumulated there thanks to human activity.  The total is growing by a bit less than 20bn tons a year.

… the rate at which the world’s biosphere photosynthesises is almost exactly the rate at which life’s other processes return carbon dioxide to the atmosphere.  With carbon dioxide from fossil fuels added to the natural emissions, photosynthesis has valiantly tried to keep up, sucking back down as much as it can.  But it cannot do enough.  It only absorbs about a third of the emissions from human industry and agriculture.

In Notrees, in a remote corner of the Texas oil patch, 1PointFive, an arm of Occidental Petroleum, an American oil firm and of Carbon Engineering, a Canadian startup backed by Bill Gates has built the world’s first commercial-scale “direct air capture” (dac) plant.

Like a tree, dac sucks carbon dioxide from the air, concentrates it and makes it available for some use.  In the natural case, that use is creating organic molecules through photosynthesis. For dac, it can be things for which humans already use CO2, like adding fizz to drinks, spurring plant growth in greenhouses or, in Occidental’s case, injecting it into oilfields to squeeze more drops of crude from the deposits.

Yet, some of the 500,000 tonnes of CO2 that the Notrees plant will capture annually, once fully operational in 2025, will be pumped beneath the plains.

Carbon Engineering and its rivals, like Climeworks, a Swiss firm, Global Thermostat, a Californian one and myriad startups worldwide, are attracting capital.  Occidental plans to build 100 large-scale dac facilities by 2035.  Others are trying to mop up CO2 produced by power plants and industrial processes before it enters the atmosphere, an approach known as carbon capture and storage.  In April, ExxonMobil unveiled plans for its newish low-carbon division, whose long-term goal is to offer such decarbonisation as a service for industrial customers in sectors like steel and cement, where emissions are otherwise hard to abate.  The oil giant thinks this sector could be raking in annual revenues of $6trn globally by 2050.

Svante, a Canadian startup, uses inexpensive materials to capture CO2 from dirty industrial flue gas for around $50 a tonne (though that excludes transport and storage).  Other companies are converting the captured carbon into products which they then hope to sell at a profit.  CarbonFree, which works with U.S. Steel and BP, a British oil-and-gas company, takes CO2 from industrial processes and turns it into speciality chemicals.  LanzaTech, which has a commercial-scale partnership with ArcelorMittal, a European steel giant and several Chinese industrial firms, builds bioreactors that convert industrial carbon emissions into useful materials.  Some make their way into portable carbon stores, such as Lululemon yoga pants.

One obvious way to promote the industry would be to make carbon polluters pay a high enough fee for every tonne of carbon they emit that it would be in their interest to pay carbon removers to mop it all up, either at the source or from the atmosphere.

Buyers of carbon credits are starting to line up.  Tech firms, keen to burnish their progressive credentials, are leading the way.  On May 15, Microsoft said it would purchase (for an undisclosed sum) 2.7m tons of carbon captured over a decade from biomass-burning power plants run by Orsted, a Danish clean-energy firm and pumped underneath the North Sea by a consortium involving Equinor, Shell and TotalEnergies, three European oil giants.  On May 18, Frontier, a buyers’ club with a $1bn carbon-removal pot bankrolled mainly by Alphabet, Meta, Stripe and Shopify, announced a $53m deal with Charm Industrial.  The firm will remove 112,000 tons of CO2 between 2024 and 2030 by converting agricultural waste, which would otherwise emit carbon as it decomposes, into an oil that can be stored underground.

Big tech is not alone.  NextGen, a joint venture between Mitsubishi Corporation, a Japanese conglomerate and South Pole, a Swiss developer of carbon-removal projects, intends to acquire over 1m tons in certified CO2-removal credits by 2025 and sell them on to others.  It has just announced the purchase of nearly 200,000 tons’ worth of such credits from 1PointFive and two other ventures.  The end-buyers include SwissRe and UBS, two Swiss financial giants, Mitsuoki Lines, a Japanese shipping firm and Boston Consulting Group.  On May 23, JPMorgan Chase, America’s biggest bank, said it would spend over $200m in the coming years on buying credits from carbon-removal firms.

Also in recent days, taking advantage of the attention focused on COP28, the consulting firm McKinsey published a report on the status of carbon capture, which you can find here.

According to McKinsey, a CDR industry capable of delivering gigaton-scale removals at net-zero levels could be worth up to $1.2 trillion by 2050.  This industry would require input and support from a range of players, including investors, suppliers, buyers, traders and other intermediaries, with substantial potential value pools estimated for each.

November Pegasus Now Available!

Here’s the November issue of Pegasus.

In this edition, we include three pieces.

First, we republish, with permission, Ivan Timofeev’s article “A State as Civilization and Political Theory.”

Next, we include a piece by Michael Hartoonian on the tensions between culture and civilization.

Lastly, we include excerpts from the September 13 statement of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China proposing a new regime for global governance.

I would be most interested in your thoughts and feedback.

Henry Kissinger has Passed. How Should We Remember Him?

As you may know, a few months ago, I published a book on how Henry Kissinger, in early 1971, personally decided to abandon the South Vietnamese nationalists to “fate.”

For me, that decision of his, which was compounded in infamy by the abandonment of the Cambodians to the Khmer Rouge and the Lao and the Hmong to oppressive subjugation, should define his flawed use of power as a substitute for morality, as we assess, in retrospect, his contributions to global affairs.

As I noted in my book, he gave new efficacy to the ancient Athenian boast that “The strong do what they can; the weak suffer what they must.”

If you want to know the facts and “dot the i’s and cross the t’s” on his sabotage of Vietnamese nationalist aspirations, please consider reading my book, Kissinger’s Betrayal: How America Lost the Vietnam War.

You may buy the book or audio version here.

Additional information can be found here.

My Recommendation to Boards on the Importance of Valuations, Social and Human Capitals

I would like to share with you a recommendation of mine to boards of directors which has just been published by Directors&Boards in the U.S.  I attempt to fit the Caux Round Table’s advocacy of the importance of intangible capitals – social and human, in particular – to successful and lasting wealth creation by capitalism firms into board of directors best practices.

You may read my argument, published today, on how to improve valuation of company wealth creation here.

More Short Videos on Relevant and Timely Topics

We recently posted more short videos on relevant and timely topics.  They include:

On Time Magazine’s Best Companies List

The Value of Intangibles

Could the Covenants Help in Gaza?

Investment, Markets and ESG

All our videos can be found on our YouTube page here.  We recently put them into 9 playlists, which you can find here.

If you aren’t following us on Twitter or haven’t liked us on Facebook, please do so.  We update both platforms frequently.

Please Join Us for In-person Round Table over Lunch December 19 to Discuss Safety in Our Schools

Please join us for an in-person round table over lunch at noon on Tuesday, December 19, at the Landmark Center in St. Paul on safety in schools and student character development with Ambrose Russell.

Ambrose is a member of the Minnesota Character Council. Ten years ago, he founded the Inner Hero Organization to work with youth in schools on becoming community leaders.

As “bad” behaviors when someone harms another become more and more to the fore in our communities – theft, assault, unsafe schools – we look for causes and for solutions.

Where public schools are concerned, one response, now questioned by many, is to place police or other law enforcers in schools.

But if the cause of “bad” behavior is a failure of character, the weakening of the moral sense, succumbing to fears and insecurities, the rise of self-referential values and disparagement of the “other,” then should not these causes of “bad” behavior be addressed, rather than responding to behavior as only symptoms?

What could be the constructive deployment of ethics in our schools to improve their safety for all students?

Cost to attend is $20 per person, which you can pay at the door.

Box lunches will be provided by Afro Deli.

To register, please email jed@cauxroundtable.net.

The event will last between an hour and hour and a half.

A Very Supportive Letter from the Vatican Secretary of State

I want to share with you this letter, which I received last Friday, November 17, from Cardinal Pietro Parolin, the Secretary of State at the Vatican.  I am grateful for his affirmation of our work.

It is your participation in the work of the Caux Round Table which justifies the Cardinal’s remarks about our including the different thoughts and perspectives of so many in seeking the common good.

To Cure Our Political Distemper: Moral Government!

Under the radar, the Caux Round Table has worked to find and advocate a better way of thinking about our politics than culture war.

To build a more moral capitalism, we must first determine what conditions are necessary to support such a system.  A fundamental requirement is compatible politics and government.

No moral capitalism can emerge where there is corruption, abuse of law, rent-seeking everywhere you turn, concentration of power and wealth in elites – social, aristocratic, military, one-party authoritarianism.

Bad government for decades has prevented peoples from obtaining the personal and societal benefits of economic development.  Bad government chokes the formation of good social capital and causes human capital to stagnate.

To counter the baleful influences of bad government, the Caux Round Table proposed ethical principles for moral government.

They might even improve our prospects for domestic tranquility here in the U.S.

We need your financial support to better advocate these simple principles for moral government.  I hope you can make a contribution to our work.

You can donate on our Give to the Max page or directly through PayPal found on our homepage here (click yellow “donate” button).

If you rather mail a check, our mailing address is 75 West Fifth Street, Suite 219, St. Paul, MN 55102.

Thank you for your support.

Kind Words from Pope Francis

Tomorrow, Thursday, November 16, is Give to the Max Day here in Minnesota.

The Caux Round Table for Moral Capitalism needs your financial support to help us carry on the work that only we are doing.  Here, I refer most to the study and advocacy in our time of the respect for others given by the Prophet Muhammad in his covenants with Christians and others.

The spirit behind these covenants and the example given to all Muslims of their Prophet’s good faith seem, at this time of war in Gaza, to be providential in giving us hope that a just outcome for all can be achieved.

I would like to share with you in this context some kind words sent to me by Pope Francis about our work.

On August 25, 2020, the secretary to Pope Francis wrote me this note:

His Holiness has read your letter and he has asked me to convey his appreciation for your underscoring the relevance of the covenants made by Muhammad in his day to protect Christian churches.  He trusts that such covenants will serve as a model for the further enhancement of mutual respect, understanding and fraternal coexistence between Christians and Muslims at the present time.

On February 26, 2021, the secretary to Pope Francis wrote me this note:

Dear Professor Young,

I am writing to acknowledge your letter and enclosures that you sent on 19 January last to His Holiness Pope Francis concerning covenants made by the Prophet Muhammad to respect and protect Christian communities and to express His Holiness’ gratitude to you and your associates for making available this documentation.

You can contribute on our Give to the Max page or directly through PayPal found on our homepage here (click yellow “donate” button).

If you rather mail a check, our mailing address is 75 West Fifth Street, Suite 219, St. Paul, MN 55102.

Thank you for your support.

Why Give to the Caux Round Table for Moral Capitalism?

With trench warfare and attacks on civilians once again taking lives in Europe; with, once again, a religious war between Abrahamic faiths taking the lives of innocents in the Levant, what difference can the Caux Round Table make to counter such intolerance of others, such rejections of human aspirations for peace and justice?

With capitalism having just produced perhaps the most profound technical innovation ever, one which will disrupt all human purposing – AI – what difference can the Caux Round Table make to minimize harmful consequences attendant on the coming use of this technology?

Because we – our leadership, our staff, our global network of thoughtful participants – are doing unique innovative work that no one else seems to be attempting.

We are exploring and communicating globally premises for a global ethic in this time of anxiety and troubles.  Our unique vantage point is the moral sense our participants have contributed since 1986 about business and finance, government, civil society and individual responsibility as what the Qur’an calls “khalifa-ship” and what my Protestant ancestors passed down to me as “stewardship.”

Tomorrow, Thursday, November 16, is Give to the Max day here in Minnesota, the annual fundraising campaign for local non-profits.  We would be most appreciative if you would support our work.

You could also contribute directly to us through PayPal or by mailing a check to us at 75 West Fifth Street, Suite 219, St. Paul, MN 55102.

If you would like to give via wire transfer, please let us know so we can send you instructions.

Thank you for your past interest in the work all of us are committed to in our different ways and for your financial support at this time.